SaaS Fragility Framework

The SaaS
Apocalypse

AI can now build what most SaaS companies sell. The question isn't if your vendors will be disrupted — it's when. This framework scores how vulnerable each vendor is to AI-driven replacement.

The Fragility Framework

Four dimensions that determine how vulnerable a SaaS vendor is to AI disruption. Each is scored 1-5, where 5 means highest fragility risk.

Logic Density

How complex is the application logic? Simple CRUD apps are easy for AI to replicate. Complex ML/algorithmic systems are not.

1 — Complex Logic/ML
Simple CRUD — 5

Integration Gravity

How deeply wired into other systems? Isolated tools are easy to replace. Systemic nerve centers with thousands of API hooks are not.

1 — Systemic Nerve Center
Isolated Tool — 5

The Authority Moat

Combined data propriety and compliance barrier. Public data with no legal risk is easy to replicate. Private/historical data with regulatory liability is not.

1 — Private Data / Regulatory Liability
Public Data / No Compliance — 5

Economic Substitution

Build cost vs. subscription rent. If AI can build it in a week but costs $1000+/seat, it's dead. If it takes a year to build but costs $20/seat, it's safe.

1 — Build > 1 year / < $20/seat
Build < 1 week / > $1K/seat — 5

Risk Scale

5Effectively dead. Code that AI can write in its sleep.
4Highly vulnerable. Features easily replicated by AI.
3Needs to sell outcomes, not features, to stay relevant.
2Moderately defensible. Significant switching costs.
1Un-Vibable. The cost/risk of DIY is irrational.

Vendor Risk Scores

Explore AI disruption risk scores for major SaaS vendors. Switch between AI model assessments and community-submitted scores.

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Logic Density
Integration Gravity
Authority Moat
Econ. Sub.
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